WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The United States is likely to exempt India, South Korea,
Turkey and others from Iranian financial sanctions for another six
months on Friday as a reward for reducing crude purchases from the
Islamic republic, two U.S. government sources said.
Oil shipments by Iran have more than halved in 2012 in the face of U.S. and European Union sanctions aimed at cutting Tehran's
foreign exchange earnings and funding for a nuclear program they
suspect is designed for a military purpose. Iran denies that the program
is for nuclear weapons.
The U.S. sanctions,
which target financial transactions, have gradually tightened the noose
on Iran's crude sales. But exports took a deep hit in July when EU
sanctions kicked in, largely because they effectively, overnight, banned
insurance cover on ships carrying Iranian crude.
The sanctions have sharply curtailed the market for
Iranian crude, with Asian buyers and Turkey the only customers this
month, according to shipping sources. EU sanctions included a ban on
members from buying Iranian crude.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that
Iranian oil exports dipped below 1 million barrels per day (bpd) over
the summer as Western sanctions on Tehran tightened.
According to official Iranian government data available through the Joint Oil Data Initiative (JODI), Iran exported an average of just over 2 million bpd in 2011.
On June 11, a
number of countries received their first round of reprieves from U.S.
sanctions that President Barack Obama signed into law a year ago. The
waivers are issued by the State Department.
Under the law, banks in countries that buy oil from
Iran can be cut off from the U.S. financial system unless their
purchases are reduced.
The architects of
U.S. sanctions legislation, Democratic Senator Robert Menendez and
Republican Senator Mark Kirk, have urged the White House to require oil
importers to reduce purchases by 18 percent or more to qualify for
further exemptions.
U.S. waivers for China,
the top consumer of Iran's oil, and Singapore are due to expire on
December 25, 180 days after they were issued. Both countries are
expected to get waiver extensions because they have reduced oil
purchases from Iran. Those waivers could also be issued on Friday, one
of the government sources and an oil industry source said.
"There's nothing in the sanctions law that says the
U.S. has to wait a full 180 days to announce exceptions for China," said
the government source, who asked not to be named because of the
sensitive nature of the matter.
Japan and 10 EU countries received six-month sanction reprieves from the United States in September.
SANCTIONS HIT
The West suspects that Iran's nuclear program is
enriching uranium to levels that could be used in weapons. Tehran has
said that the program is for the generation of electricity and medical
purposes.
David Cohen, undersecretary for terrorism and financial
intelligence at the U.S. Treasury Department, said this week the mix of
sanctions was costing Iran up to $5 billion a month.
The United States
and the EU say the sanctions are targeted at the government and not
ordinary citizens, although the rial has dropped sharply in value and
forced up food prices so that Iranians can not always afford even basic
items.
Still, the West has been ramping up sanctions further
as worries mount about Tehran's nuclear intentions and to try to calm
concerns in Israel, which has threatened to attack Iranian nuclear
installations if a peaceful solution is not found.
Shipping sources say Iran's crude exports are set to
drop by about a quarter in December from November and to the lowest
level since the sanctions were imposed this year, representing a loss of
about $800 million at current prices.
EU sanctions mean that major buyers China, South Korea
and India ask Iran to ship the oil to them because they are unable to
secure insurance cover for vessels.
Delivery has often been delayed because the Iranian
fleet is severely stretched, with an increasing number of its tankers
being used as floating storage for unsold oil.
The sanction will leave Asia's 2012 Iranian crude
imports at just over 1 million bpd, down roughly a quarter from a year
ago, Reuters calculations show.
As Iran's biggest
buyers of Iran crude, Asian countries lobbied hard for exemptions to the
sanctions for fear that a loss of the crude would force prices higher
and undermine economic growth. Many Asian refiners are also designed to
handle Iranian crude, and would require costly reconfiguring if they
were to give up the grade substantially.
China, the world's
second-largest oil consumer, has also repeatedly voiced its opposition
to unilateral sanctions, such as those imposed by the United States. It says measures should be multilateral and agreed through the United Nations.
Still, China's
imports have fallen in recent months as Iranian tankers struggled to
ship even the reduced volumes requested by importing countries. Earlier
this year, China slashed imports by as much as half as the country
wrangled over annual contract terms with Tehran.
China's imports
from Iran are down 22 percent on the year to 426,000 bpd in
January-October, the months for which official data is available.
South Korea has
reduced purchases 39 percent to 148,000 bpd and Japan 41 percent to
188,000 bpd over the same period. In contrast, India has raised imports
to 328,000 bpd, up 7 percent.